Fantasy Baseball
Trades
Too
often, fantasy baseball owners make a trade with the thought of
what they can gain in the trade. However, there are several more
things you need to look at:
In
which categories could you drop in the standings?
In
which categories could the other owners gain?
What
is the domino effect that could occur because of this deal?
Let's
look at a specific example. Let's say it's right after the all-star
break and you are first place overall. You are 5th in stolen bases
and you have the chance to pick up the top stolen base guy from
the leader in the SB category. You give him a pitcher on pace for
18 wins.
The
good news: You will finish 3rd in Stolen bases.
The
bad news: The guy who was in 2nd place overall when you made the
trade was 4th in stolen bases. He moved all the way up to first
by picking up some speedy scrub on the free agent wire.
The
owner who was second overall also was behind you in wins. He passes
you the last 2 weeks of the season in that category.
The
owner you traded the pitcher to also passes you up in wins towards
the end of the season.
So
as you can see from this scenario, while you gained a few points
in stolen bases, your closest competitors also benefited from the
deal to the point where you lost ground overall.
The
point of this confusing exercise is simply this: When making a fantasy
baseball trade, consider all the consequences of the move. Think
about how it will effect other owners and how the stand in particular
categories. Don't just focus on what the immediate effect is on
your team.
The
good news about this is that you can often make deals with owners
who aren't thinking with this logic. You can offer a deal that looks
better on paper for the other owner, but has a domino effect that
works in your favor. Usually, the other owner isn't considering
this. He only sees a deal to good to pass up and jumps on it.
Obviously,
studying the domino effect takes a lot of time and energy, but the
benefits of the extra research involved can turn a season around.
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